Section 5A Football Standings and Predictions

STANDINGS/POINTS:


1- KMS 5-2 31 points

2- Wabasso 5-2 30 points

3- Dawson-Boyd 3-4 20 points

4- B-B-E 2-5 19 points

5- Ortonville 2-5 13 points

6- Royalton 2-5 13 points

7- U-S-A 1-6 7 points (Upsala-Swanville Area)

8- RCW 1-6 6 points (Renville County West)


Explanation of the "points" system for Section 5A.

6 points for a win over a 1A opponent, 7 points for a win over a 2A opponent, and 8 points for a win over a 3A opponent. Zero points are awarded for a loss to a 1A team, 1 point is awarded for a loss to a 2A team, and 2 points are awarded for a loss to a 3A team. This explains how the Jaguars have 19 points even though their record is 2-5 overall. The early season win over Rockford yielded a whopping 8 points.



Here is a snapshot of each section team and a prediction of how the final game of the season will go for each team.


KMS
After starting 0-2, K-M-S is poised to win out. They host a
fair 2-5 Pillager team in their season finale, and
they will pound them. They will finish 6-2, with a tiebreaker
over Wabasso since they lost to AA Ottertail Central in game
#2, giving them 37 points and the coveted number-one seed.


WABASSO
Red Rock is not gonna beat Wabasso...Wabasso will finish 6-2
with 36 points, against all 1A competition. Wabasso is good,
enough said there.


BBE
After two truly dis-tasteful losses to Kimball and Holdingford,
the B-B-E Jaguars are thoroughly angry enough that they will
travel to Howard Lake and pound the Lakers into the ground.
The Lakers are 5-2 and in position to get a decent playoff seed
in Section 5AA and will be fired up to beat the Jaguars.
However, the Jaguars played remarkable with Jackson Illies in
his 2nd game as starting quarterback against Holdingford, relative
to their dismal performance at Kimball the week previous. With
two practices before the Howard Lake trip, they will continue
to put it all together and will finish strong, 3-5 overall,
five losses to AA teams, and one win each over an A, AA, and AAA
team...giving them 25 points while locking up #3 in Section 5A.


DAWSON-BOYD
Dawson-Boyd has had a tough schedule...they'll finish 3-5 with
competitive losses to strong teams from Minneota, Murray County
Central, class AA Maccray, and a quality win over AA Tracy-Milroy.
They pounded a really bad Fulda team, and had a close win over
Canby, who just picked up their first win over Ortonville and is
1-6 overall. They'll finish 3-5 with 20 points. They won't defeat
Adrian in their season finale. They may be a sleeper in the section.


ORTONVILLE
Adrian killed Ortonville 50-6, then barely beat Tracy-Milroy 23-20
at Tracy. TMB should beat Ortonville without any problems.
Ortonville will finish 2-6 with two class AA losses, and two wins
over 1A teams, giving them 14 points. If they beat T-M-B, they
would end up 3-5 with 20 points. But they won't, because they
got pounded by a bad 0-6 Canby team, 30-13 in Ortonville.


ROYALTON
Royalton has one loss to AA United North Central...I don't see
them winning at New York Mills. Even if they finished 3-5 and
beat NYM, they would end up with 19 points...or else 2-6 and
13 points, which is most likely. They're a decent team but
they have a handful of losses to poor 1A teams.


UPSALA-SWANVILLE AREA
Thanks Osakis, you barely beat USA, dropping the Patriots to
1-6 overall...the Patriots lost in triple OT to AA United North
Central. They lost 12-0 to Royalton...other losses have been
close except the 64-20 pasting by K-M-S. They will not beat
AA Ottertail Central and will finish 1-7, with 8 points, giving
them a tiebreaker over presumably 1-7 RCW, for the 7th seed.


RENVILLE COUNTY WEST
RCW is really bad, and they'll probably end up 1-7 with 6 points,
however they may beat the 0-7 Sleepy Eye St.Mary's Knights in
their season finale to end up 2-6 overall with 12 points.


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Throwing caution to the wind, here's my predictions:




#1- KMS 6-2, 37 points

#2- Wabasso 6-2, 36 points

#3- B-B-E 3-5, 25 points

#4- D-Boyd 3-5, 20 points

#5- O'ville 2-6, 14 points

#6- Royalton 2-6, 13 points

#7- U-S-A 1-7, 8 points

#8- RCW 1-7, 6 points





First-round games:

K-M-S will shred RCW and advance.

Wabasso will shred U-S-A and advance.

B-B-E will beat Royalton 41-8 and advance.

Dawson-Boyd will avenge their season-opening loss to Ortonville and advance.

(Thus, all top seeds will advance)

D-Boyd will travel to K-M-S.
B-B-E will travel to Wabasso.

At that point, anyone can win on those nights. I see the Jaguars
defeating Wabasso...finishing what they feel they should have
done in 2005, when they were down only 14-6 with 9 minutes left in
the game to the eventual section champion & state semi-finalist Rabbits.

It will end up being a K-M-S/B-B-E FargoDome Section 5A final
battle, with neighboring schools battling for "State".

What more could you ask for?